Nuclear, Arms Control & Disarmament

Swaran Singh (co-authored)

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quoted in Independent (London): Swaran Singh, a professor of international relations at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi, points to the importance of Trump’s personal relationship with Pakistan’s powerful military chief, Asim Munir. Pakistan has been under direct military rule for 33 of the almost 80 years since independence, and even its civilian administrations have typically been heavily influenced by its generals. Munir and Trump have grown increasingly close since the start of the US president’s second term, with the general making more visits to Washington than has Pakistan’s actual prime minister. They seem to have got on well, with Trump praising Munir as a “great fighter” and his “favourite field marshal”. Among leaders in Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Egypt, Turkey, India, and Pakistan, Trump “appears most comfortable with the field marshal “and, therefore, decided to connect through him”, Singh says. Munir also enjoys close ties with the Iranian military.

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28 Feb 2026: TOI report on Iran strikes with my impute- Prof. Swaran Singh, who teaches Arms Control & Disarmament, Conflict Resolution & Peace Studies at the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, argues that the picture is considerably more complicated than the strikes alone suggest. "The so-called pre-emptive strikes have not delivered expected outcomes for regime change," he told TOI. "This means strikes and counter-strikes will continue with impact on the global energy market and disrupted airlines that will impinge on the entire world." He added that the Russia-China dimension gives this confrontation a dimension previous Middle East crises lacked. "Both have displayed closeness with Iran through recent trilateral naval exercises and defence contracts. This confrontation is complicated and will impact Trump's mid-term elections and his early April visit to Beijing." A 'Clash of Civilizations' or not? One question already circulating in diplomatic and academic circles is whether Muslim-majority nations will frame the strikes as a civilizational assault -- a renewal of Samuel Huntington's much-debated "clash of civilizations" thesis. Prof. Singh is cautious. "That sentiment may be strengthened," he said, "but Islamic nations are not likely to promote such a divide given their dependence on the US."

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report by Mahender Yadav based on my imputes

Swaran Singh, a professor of international relations at JNU, said India's high growth rate is driven by a combination of structural, demographic, policy, and external factors. "India has a young and expanding workforce, with a median age of around 28 years — providing a sustained supply of labor and constantly rising domestic consumption levels," he said. "This demographic dividend supports long-term growth if matched with Skills and jobs.”

Swaran Singh, a professor of diplomacy and disarmament at Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi, said India has taken bold measures by delinking fuel and technology suppliers from accident-related liabilities and limiting operator liability, while allowing participation of private sector to accelerate nuclear power generation.

quoted on Putin’s India visit in South China Morning Post: “[This] can help [Russia] sustain their defence manufacturing and also their economy,” said Swaran Singh, a prof of diplomacy and disarmament at Jawaharlal Nehru University’s School of International Studies, India. “This has pushed both India and Russia to explore alternative avenues for sustaining a balanced economic partnership,” Singh said. He added that India’s focus on the indigenisation and diversification of its defence procurements had also prompted Russia to be “more generous”, including by agreeing to Delhi’s terms on joint innovation, research and development and production of advanced defence platforms and technologies.

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quoted on India-Pak militaries joint anti-terror exercises. “The SCO anti-terror exercise allows Indian and Pakistani militaries unique mutual familiarisation,” Swaran Singh, geopolitical commentator and a professor of international relations at New Delhi-based Jawaharlal Nehru University, told TRT World. Given that terrorism remains the bone of contention in India–Pakistan tensions, this exercise carries significance, he opined. “Last decade has seen India pursuing a Pakistan policy based on ‘terror and talks can not go tougher’ axis. With this backdrop, Indian and Pakistani forces coming together on issue of terrorism carries great significance,” he shared. See less

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Dr. Swaran Singh, Professor of International Relations with New Delhi-based Jawaharlal Nehru University feels that India should participate in the conference “Given ‘multi-alignment’ now being the defining feature of India’s foreign policy.” However, he cautions that this participation “should remain restricted to lower level officials or even non-official level as this summit does not meet the basic criterion of ensuring all stakeholders being present at these deliberations.” Pointing out that Russia has not been invited to the conference, he reasons that “. the most optimal outcome of this will be nothing but one more ultimatum to Moscow to comply with their fancies. China, Brazil,Pakistan have announced their non-participation. Indeed, as a major player with stakes in an early end of Ukraine crisis,”

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Reporter Xu WeiWei quote me : Singh, professor for diplomacy and disarmament at Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi, said the launch of Aditya-L1 and Chandrayaan-3's landing on the moon's south pole are not just milestone achievements in India's space exploration, but also hold deeper significance. "It especially demonstrates the genius of India's scientists who have ... come to be known for their cost-effective missions that must inspire nations of the Global South that can aspire to ... engage with frontiers of science and also hope to build partnerships with India."

BBC हिंदी के ज़ुबैर अहमद के रिपोर्ट में : दिल्ली के जवाहरलाल नेहरू यूनिवर्सिटी में स्कूल ऑफ़ इंटरनेशनल स्टडीज़ के प्रोफ़ेसर स्वर्ण सिंह कहते हैं, "चीन रूस के इतना क़रीब जा चुका है कि वो अब किसी भी हालत में पीछे नहीं हट सकता." प्रोफ़ेसर स्वर्ण सिंह कहते हैं, "चीन को बहुत चिंतित होना चाहिए क्योंकि राष्ट्रपति पुतिन के साथ मिलकर वो अंतरराष्ट्रीय संबंधों को प्रभावित करना चाहता है, बदलाव लाना चाहता है." वह कहते हैं, "दिलचस्प बात ये है कि पुतिन को किस तरह का धक्का लगा है, वो बातें सामने नहीं आ रही हैं. और उनका सामने न आना और घटना के बारे में कुछ न कहना, उनके लिए चुनौती को और भी गंभीर बनाता है." प्रोफ़ेसर स्वर्ण सिंह कहते हैं, "हमारे रिश्ते भी बहुत अहम हैं. लेकिन हमने पिछले 20 सालों में सभी देशों से रिश्ते जोड़ने की कोशिश की है." "साल 2002 से 2022 तक रूस की हमारे रक्षा उपकरणों के आयात में हिस्सेदारी 68 प्रतिशत से घटकर 47 प्रतिशत पर आ गयी है. केवल तेल के आयात के चलते हाल में 44 अरब डॉलर का कारोबार बढ़ा है." प्रोफेसर स्वर्ण सिंह के मुताबिक़, भारत की रूस पर निर्भरता पिछले 20 सालों में घटी है और चीन की इस अरसे में निर्भरता बढ़ी है.

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Curil Ip of South China Morning Post quoted me : 30 Jan 2023: Quoted in South China Morning Post: Swaran Singh, an Int Relations expert & visiting professor at Univ of British Columbia, said China’s statements should not be overanalysed. “The US over the yrs downsizing its presence & engagement with Middle East has seen China becoming an important player in the region… increasing its eco links & investments in region, as showcased by China-Arab nations summits,” Singh said. But China must “tread carefully”, given the enduring nature of Israel-Palestine conflict & deep rooted links between US and Israel, as Beijing’s position could add to China-US tensions, he said.

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Cyril Ip quote me in her report saying that Washington is “abundantly clear” that it understands the unique advantage of China: its proximity to both Russia and North Korea.“The bare minimum consensus between the US and China on the issue of North Korea’s nuclear weapons and missiles remains managing its regional implications. Beyond this, their perspectives fundamentally push them in different directions,” Singh said. He said it was not likely such exchanges would have any impact on Beijing-Pyongyang relations

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北京日报客户端 | 记者 白波 (Correspondend Bai Bo)

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BBC सरोज सिंह की रिपोर्ट में: हालांकि जेएनयू में स्कूल ऑफ इंटरनेशनल स्टडी के प्रोफेसर स्वर्ण सिंह की राय चीन और पाकिस्तान की नई सरकार के बीच की केमेस्ट्री को लेकर थोड़ी अलग है. उनके मुताबिक़, "चीन और पाकिस्तान हमेशा से एक दूसरे के पक्के दोस्त रहे हैं. सीपेक परियोजना, जो बीआरआई परियोजना का ही हिस्सा है, उसमें इमरान सरकार के आने के बाद कुछ एक बदलाव की माँग ज़रूर की थी. जिसमें सबसे अहम था, बिजली की प्रति यूनिट लागत थी. लेकिन चीन के साथ कोई टकराव वाली स्थिति नहीं आई थी. वैसे भी इस तरह की परियोजनाओं में ऐसी चर्चा हर नई सरकार करती है." शहबाज़ शरीफ़ के आने से इस परियोजना में बहुत बड़ी तेज़ी जाएगी, प्रो. स्वर्ण सिंह ऐसा नहीं मानते. उनका मानना है कि शहबाज़ शरीफ़ कितने दिन तक प्रधानमंत्री रह पाएंगे, इसको लेकर कई तरह के कयास पाकिस्तान में लगाए जा रहे हैं. "फिलहाल शहबाज़ शरीफ़ का ध्यान पाकिस्तान की अंदरूनी राजनीति की तरफ़ ज़्यादा रहेगा, जहाँ तोड़-फोड़ और जोड़-तोड़ की राजनीति चल रही है. शहबाज़ शरीफ़ का ज़्यादतर वक़्त सरकार बनाने के लिए साथ आई पार्टियों को एकजुट रखने में ख़र्च होगा. इस वजह से नहीं लगता कि सीपेक को लेकर कोई बहुत बड़ा क़दम उठाने की स्थिति में शहबाज़ फिलहाल होंगे. लेकिन इतना ज़रूर है कि लोकतांत्रिक तरीके से वो चुन कर आए हैं, ये चीन के लिए ये अच्छी ख़बर है."

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Xu Weiwei’s report in China Daily quoted me saying: “Guided especially by its need to safely bring back large numbers of Indian citizens in Ukraine, New Delhi's stance of neutrality－that saw India abstain on three UNSC resolutions－has made India far more proactive in its engagement with this conflict.” He also pointed out that convening the Quad summit last Thursday implied that the US, Japan and Australia were seeking an opportunity to nudge India into joining their denunciation of Russia and also join in their sanctions on Russia, Swaran Singh said. "This, however, remains ambitious as India is likely to stay on course with its neutral position that has become increasingly proactive and focused on helping and highlighting the plight of the victims," he said.

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Interviewed by Alessandra De Poli of PIMA Asia News

Interviewed by Anish Kumar of AsiaNetNews.com saying: India neutrality has increasing costs in case the military confrontation does not come to a close at the earliest. "With the United States, there has recently been an issue of India's purchase of S-400 from Russia invoking CAATSA sanctions. So far, the US has kept this under wrap and India has not made hype too much about importing the S-400. But given the likely displeasure of the US, CAATSA sanction could also be slapped on India.”

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Report by Anish Kumar quotes me saying: 28 Feb 2022: quoted by AsiaNet News saying: "India has traditionally maintained neutrality in such military contestation of great powers. However, given the country's emerging stature as the world's largest democracy, sixth-largest economy and now the eight-time non-permanent member of UNSC, India has been under increasing pressure from all sides, including the US, Russia and Ukraine to support their version of the crisis.” “This has come to paint a picture of these four countries -- Russia, India, China and UAE -- as if standing on the other side of this increasingly visible global divide. Whereas China has openly begun to support Moscow and Russia clearly was the only country that vetoed the resolution. Despite efforts to ensure neutrality India's decision to abstain has come to be interpreted as India standing with China and Russia.”

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Quote by Anish Kumar in his report on Ukraine crisis saying: “First of all, it is dangerous to hazard a guess that Putin has launched a full-scale war on Ukraine. He author

Quoted in Anish Kumar’s report arguing that if last two decades are any example to go by then gradual expansion of Russian 'peacekeeping ops' in Ukraine could, in worst case, not just take whole of Donbas region but even much of eastern Ukraine till Dnipro river that divides Ukraine north-to-south making Kyiv (located on this river) as Berlin of 1961

Quote in Mayak Agarwal’s report saying: “The stand taken by India to seek peace without clearly taking a clear side of either Russia or the US could result in some costs, but I think it is something that the Indian establishment has decided to take in stride,” he said. Professor Singh acknowledged that as far as Indians in Ukraine and their safety is concerned, “India’s ground assessment seems to be that the crisis will blow over soon with some tensions remaining at the Ukraine-Russia border … but largely due to its relations with both Russia and Ukraine Indian interests and citizens won’t be harmed.”

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BBC हिंदी न्यूज़ की सरोज सिंह की रिपोर्ट में: 14 Sept 2021: जवाहरलाल नेहरू विश्वविद्यालय में स्कूल ऑफ़ इंटरनेशनल स्टडी के प्रोफ़ेसर स्वर्ण सिंह कहते हैं, "चीन के सामने सबसे बड़ी चुनौती भी है और मौक़ा भी है कि वो तालिबान को राज़ी कर लें कि अपनी ज़मीन का इस्तेमाल चीन विरोधी आतंकवादी गतिविधियों के लिए नहीं होने देगा. तालिबान ने चीन, रूस, भारत सबसे इस बारे में वादा तो किया है. लेकिन अपने वादे पर तालिबान कितना क़ायम रहता है, यही देखना होगा."

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Current Affairs Program

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Lokesh Kumar (Reporter)

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Current Affairs Programme

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